Monday, December 29, 2014

U.S. Muni-Bond Market Is on a Tear

By Aaron Kuriloff, Wall Street Journal

Municipal bonds are on a winning streak that many investors bet will run into the new year.

The debt issued by U.S. cities, states and local entities such as sewer systems has posted its longest string of monthly gains in more than two decades in 2014, outpacing gains in corporate bonds and U.S. government debt, according to data from Barclays PLC.

Investors are flocking to the $3.6 trillion municipal-bond market at a time of low interest rates, uneven global growth and concern that the nearly uninterrupted rise in many stocks and bonds since the financial crisis will come to an end. The debt is especially attractive because interest payments typically don’t generate federal taxes and, in some cases, aren’t subject to state taxes.

That, along with forecasts for relatively flat issuance of new bonds, is expected to support the rally in 2015 despite concerns about the impact of an increase in short-term interest rates by the Federal Reserve, which many economists and investors expect in the middle of next year.

Municipal bonds have returned 8.71% this year through Friday, including price gains and interest payments, according to Barclays. That compares with a total return of 15.3% for the S&P 500, 6.97% for highly rated corporate debt and 4.6% for U.S. Treasury debt.

Demand from individual investors, mutual funds and banks and insurance companies has remained robust, said Ashton Goodfield, co-head of the municipal-bond department at Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management, a unit of Deutsche Bank AG . That has helped investors overcome last year’s fears about losses from Detroit or Puerto Rico. The U.S. commonwealth passed a law in June allowing some public agencies to restructure their finances.

“I think people are understanding that there’s not going to be a rash of bankruptcies in the market,” Ms. Goodfield said. “It’s a confirmation that municipal credits are generally solid.”

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The D2 Capital Management Tax Free Income Portfolio is currently yielding 4.66% (Trailing 12 month Tax Equivalent Yield at 28% Tax Bracket, as of 26 December 2014).  Year to date the portfolio is up 9.42%

The views expressed here are that of myself or the cited individual or firm and do not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by myself, D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.

 The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville.  The Firm is also a member of the Financial Planning Association of Northeast Florida, the Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce, the Southside Businessmen's Club, and the Beaches Business Association. 

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