There's an old expression: a fool and his money are soon parted. It makes one wonder, though, how a fool and his money got together in the first place.
You've heard of the "smart money." Well, there's also a syndrome that I like to call the dumb money. Below are common examples of investor obtuseness.
As 2013 draws to a close and we find ourselves on the cusp of a new year, make these six new year's resolutions:
- Don't jump into bull markets and bail out during market downturns. There's a natural allure to "up" markets, but the intoxicating effects of a bull market are not related to an investor's need to have money rationally invested and allocated according to specific goals.
A bull market gets the animal spirits racing, clouding investors' judgment. By the same token, a down market gets investors depressed, causing them to run away from undervalued bargains or to precipitously sell their investments at a loss.
The herd mentality is hard to resist; most investors behave like lemmings and march right off a cliff. They succumb to the "group think" of the media, friends, the Internet, colleagues, famlly-everyone telling them what stock or investment to buy, everyone ready with brilliant advice.
But here's a general rule of thumb: Once your barber, cabbie or shoe shine guy starts giving you hot stock tips, it usually means the market has hit a peak.
And the LAST thing you want to do is bail out of a down market, thereby locking in your losses. You're usually better off waiting out a downturn, instead of panicking.
- Don't abandon long-term investment goals and succumb to the urge to grab short-term profits. There's a difference between long-term net worth generated as a consequence of a methodical investment approach, and a greedy investor who just wants to grab the quick buck. The former has accumulated wealth over a sustained period of disciplined investing; the latter tends to benefit from random occurrence, as if playing in a casino.
That said, don't hyperventilate over a sudden, short-term opportunity that contradicts your long-range plans. Create a strategy that's right for you-and, despite the temporary vicissitudes of the market, stick to it.
- Don't remain in thrall to your most recent experiences. The investment adage-past returns are no guarantee of future performance-is all too often forgotten. Don't dwell on past glories or defeats; stay forward-looking.
- Don't spend insufficient time reviewing your portfolio. Whether you're an entrepreneur forging a business or an athlete preparing for an event, persistent dedication of money, time, and attention is needed to reach success. Those who infrequently review their investment strategy will get blindsided by constantly changing events. You can't put your investments on automatic pilot. Review your investments at least once a quarter.
- Don't take your eye off the big picture and micro-manage your portfolio. Focus on the trends that will exert a significant impact on your investments; don't lose sight of the forest by staring at the trees. Monitor economic and financial trends-the broader context of your investments-instead of getting caught up in day-to-day movements of the markets.
- Don't make decisions based on the commentary of financial pundits on TV who have an ax to grind. Ideologues tend to occupy an echo chamber with those who share their beliefs. Through various media (especially television) these chattering "experts" wield undue influence. If you allow this cranial flatulence to sway your investment decisions, you'll lose money.
These operatives are so enamored of their pre-conceived notions, they refuse to acknowledge any evidence to the contrary. Absent on their list of priorities is the well being of your portfolio.
The insatiable need of 24-hour financial channels for content virtually assures that anyone who can communicate at least a semblance of competence can get on the air. Unfortunately, there is virtually no follow-up on the advice conveyed.
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The views expressed here are that of myself or the cited individual or firm and do not constitute a recommendation, solicitation, or offer by myself, D2 Capital Management, LLC or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities, futures, options or other financial instruments or provide any investment advice or service. D2, its clients, and its employees may or may not own any of the securities (or their derivatives) mentioned in this article.
The Jacksonville Business Journal has ranked D2 Capital Management in the top 25 of Certified Financial Planners in Jacksonville. The Firm is also a member of the Financial Planning Association of Northeast Florida, the Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce, the Southside Businessmen's Club, and the Beaches Business Association.
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